This weekend my attention was drawn (thank you to PSG Asset Management's Shaun le Roux) to an article on the FT website with the title above. There is no doubt that many tracker funds and ETFs have had very strong performance in recent years as we have seen a powerful momentum trend push the prices … Continue reading Index trackers break basic rules of portfolio management
Richard Thaler, a leading light in the field of shedding light on how much our behaviour affects our investment outcomes, has won the 2017 Nobel Prize for Economics. Bloomberg reported that his body of work "includes insights on the ways in which limited rationality, social preferences and a lack of self control affect decisions that … Continue reading Behavioural Economist Richard Thaler wins the 2017 Nobel Prize for Economics
Much has been made of how concentrated our local All Share Index (ALSI) is and how certain companies (like Naspers) have a significant impact on movements of the index. But the ALSI is not unique. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also called DJIA, or simply the Dow, is a stock market index, that shows how 30 large publicly owned companies based … Continue reading How do you like THEM apples?
GMO have released their monthly forecast of what they believe the probable asset class returns will be over the next 7-years. Comment: Asset class / index views are a broad generalisation and should not be interpreted as meaning that all/every component is the same. Within each of these asset classes one will find assets which … Continue reading GMO’s 7‐Year Asset Class Real Return Forecasts
Writing in the latest PSG Asset Management quarterly newsletter my friend and former colleague, Philipp Wörz has highlighted that it's not just foreign asset managers who think that developed market valuations are starting to feel quite stretched, but local managers are very aware of this too. "Global equities have been in a bull market ever … Continue reading PSG: Be selective when investing offshore and don’t discount South Africa
I have been a fan of GMO's James Montier (and his colleague Jeremy Grantham) for some years and rarely miss an opportunity to read what they have to say. Montier's latest paper, written with colleague Matt Kadnar, is entitled "The S&P 500: Just Say No". It's a long read so pour yourself a cup of coffee, click … Continue reading The S&P 500: Just say no
According to a media release yesterday from ASISA*, living annuity policyholders withdrew on average 6.62% of their capital as income in 2016, which represents a marginal increase in the 6.44% living annuity drawdown rate recorded for 2015. An increase in the drawdown rate is concerning in an environment of relatively meek domestic returns over the … Continue reading Living annuity drawdown rates up in 2016
I attended the most recent Taking Stock presentation by Investec Asset Management on Friday morning. The main speakers were Malcolm Charles, Head of Fixed Income and Clyde Rossouw, Co-Head of Quality. Malcolm's portfolio manager duties includes the Diversified Income Fund. Clyde's portfolio manager duties include the Investec Opportunity, Cautious Managed and Global Franchise Funds. Jeremy Gardiner … Continue reading Taking stock with Investec: Going nowhere slowly but don’t bet against the pros